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Financial Bailout

Congressional Oversight Panel (COP) Subsidy Estimates

The Congressional Oversight Panel found that between 10/14/08 and 1/23/09, the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP):

  • Purchased $254 billion of preferred stock and warrants from financial institutions;
  • Furnished $78 billion of subsidies through those purchases;
  • Provided an average subsidy rate of 31 percent to those institutions ($78b/$254b).

The panel also found a huge variation in subsidy rates among institutions. Among the eight largest TARP transactions:

  • American International Group (AIG) received the largest subsidy rate: 63 percent;
  • U.S. Bancorp received the smallest subsidy rate: 5 percent.

The panel observed that the variation in subsidy rates stemmed largely from the fact that TARP did not distinguish among institutions with different risks of insolvency. As a result, weaker institutions tended to receive higher subsidy rates.

COP's subsidy estimates (in dollar terms) are smaller than those made by the Congressional Budget Office because COP did not include subsidies to automotive companies. After accounting for that difference, both the COP and CBO estimates are broadly similar. Both organizations estimate similar subsidy rates.

Congressional Oversight Panel's Estimated Subsidy of Select TARP Transactions as of January 23, 2009

(Excluding Financing for the Automotive Industry)
  Transaction Date1 Amount Received
(billions of dollars)
Estimated Subsidy
(billions of dollars)
Subsidy Rate
(percent)
Capital Purchase Program
Bank of America Corporation 10/28/08
15.0
2.6
17%
Citigroup, Inc. 10/28/08
25.0
9.5
38%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. 10/28/08
25.0
4.4
18%
Morgan Stanley 10/28/08
10.0
4.2
42%
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. 10/28/08
10.0
2.5
25%
The PNC Financial Services Group 12/31/08
7.6
2.1
27%
U.S. Bancorp 11/14/08
6.6
0.3
5%
Wells Fargo & Company 10/28/08
25.0
1.8
7%
Subtotal
124.2
27.3
22%
 
Other Institutions2
70.0
15.4
22%
CPP Total
194.2
42.7
22%
 
Systemically Significant Failing Institutions (SSFI) & Targeted Investment Program (TIP)
American International Group, Inc. (AIG) 11/25/2008
40.0
25.2
63%
Citigroup, Inc. 12/31/2008
20.0
10.0
50%
SSFI/TIP Total
60.0
35.2
59%
 
Grand Total
254.2
78.0
31%
 
1. Transaction date is from Treasury's Transaction Reports; the subsidy was estimated using market data when the agreements were announced which was earlier than the transaction date. (See COP report for details).
2. There were 311 other institutions. Subsidy estimates for those institutions were extrapolated using the 22% subsidy rate from the 8 CPP investments studied by COP.
Source: Congressional Oversight Panel, "February Oversight Report: Valuing Treasury's Acquisitions." February 6, 2009. http://cop.senate.gov/documents/cop-020609-report-dpvaluation.pdf; page 7.